Free training on prediction markets, starting from zero. In one evening you'll fully understand how Polymarket works, where the profit actually comes from, and how to make your first trade — in practice mode first, without risking a single dollar.
These logos indicate the platforms and technologies covered in the course. This project is not a partner of, and is not affiliated with, any of them.
We trade these markets ourselves and we build tools for them. Later we'll offer those tools on a subscription — we're saying so upfront so you're not looking for the catch.
But any tool has the same problem: it's useless to someone who doesn't understand how the market works, where the share price comes from, or why you never put your whole balance into one trade. That person loses money, blames the tool, and leaves.
So we teach first, for free. You'll learn the mechanics, practise the strategies without money, and decide for yourself whether you need anything else. If you do, we'll offer it. If you don't, the knowledge and the skill stay with you either way.
We do not take funds under management, we do not sell signals, and we do not promise returns. This isn't charity — it's how we build an audience that understands what it's doing.
Prediction markets have stopped being a niche for enthusiasts: volumes are growing, platforms are moving out of the grey zone into regulated territory, and institutional money is arriving.
What that means in practice: the market is still inefficient. Share prices regularly diverge from real probabilities, spreads are wide, and there are orders of magnitude fewer professional participants here than in equities or crypto.
Those divergences are exactly what people who understand the mechanics get paid for. In two or three years, when the large professional desks arrive, the gaps will close — the same way they already closed on traditional exchanges.
The window is open. It won't stay open forever.
Polymarket is the largest venue where people from all over the world take positions on future events. No derivatives, no exchange jargon — it works the way it does in real life, except settlement is automatic.
"Will the Fed cut rates in September?", "Who wins the election?", "Will this team win the match?", "Will Bitcoin be above $X by Friday?"
"YES" if you think the event will happen. "NO" if you think it won't.
A share costs between 1 and 99 cents. If YES costs $0.62, the market puts the odds of the event at 62%.
You paid $0.62, you receive $1.00, you keep $0.38 per share.
You bought at $0.40, the event became more likely, the share rose to $0.75 — sell right now and take the $0.35.
You cannot lose more than you put in. The maximum loss on a trade equals the price of the share. There is no leverage, no liquidation, no margin call, and no request to top up your account.
Guessing at random is not a strategy. Three things get paid on this market: other people's expertise, your own informational edge, and mathematics. We cover all three, from the simplest to the hardest.
The idea. Polymarket publishes an open leaderboard — the trade history and results of every participant. Some of them are consistently profitable across hundreds of trades. You'll learn to select those people by objective metrics and to read the logic behind their entries.
What you'll learn. How to read a leaderboard, which metrics lie and which don't, and how to tell a genuine edge from a lucky short run.
The idea. A share price is the averaged opinion of a crowd. Crowds are wrong on a schedule: they react to news late, overprice loud events and underprice boring ones. If you follow a specific subject closely, you will regularly spot markets where the price doesn't match reality.
What you'll learn. How to turn your understanding of a subject into a number, compare that number with the market price, and work out whether a trade is worth opening at all.
The idea. The YES and NO shares on one question should always add up to exactly $1.00. During busy moments the sum temporarily drifts apart. These situations don't require you to predict the outcome at all: the profit comes from the price difference itself.
What you'll learn. How to find those situations, how to calculate the real return after fees, and why most apparent gaps are actually traps.
All three strategies are taught as manual trading — you place the trades yourself and understand why. How this scales further, we'll show at the end of the course.
No slides, no theory. A real screen recording: we open the platform, find a market where the price diverges from the real probability, talk through the reasoning out loud, and place the trade. You'll see the whole process from start to finish.
I want to do this too →We're not going to tell you this is easy money. Most beginners on any market lose their first deposit — and almost always for the same three reasons. The whole course is built around making sure you don't repeat them.
Let's draw the line clearly and upfront, so there's no misunderstanding later.
We are responsible for this: that the course materials do what they claim — explain the mechanics of the market, cover the strategies, and set out a method for managing risk.
You are responsible for everything else: the decision to participate in prediction markets, the choice of strategy, the size of every trade, the amounts you deposit, compliance with the laws of your country and the rules of the platform, your tax obligations — and the financial outcome, whatever it turns out to be.
We are not liable for your losses, lost profits, the actions or failures of any trading platform, or any other consequence of your decisions. Everything you do on the market, you do at your own risk.
We do not provide individual investment advice and we do not provide financial services. No course material constitutes an instruction to place any specific trade.
No method guarantees a profit. These rules limit your losses — they don't eliminate them. Most participants on any market lose money at the start, and you may be one of them. Only use funds whose loss would not change your life.
| Starting capital | $99.00 |
| Period | 3 hours |
| Strategy | Following top leaderboard participants |
| Trade size | Fixed, $5.00 |
| Trades | 8 |
| Correct | 3 of 8 (37.5%) |
| Result | +$13.00 |
What matters here isn't the size of the profit — it's the principle.
A 37.5% hit rate sounds like failure, and that's exactly why most beginners quit at this point. But the three winning shares were bought at very low prices and settled at $1.00: the asymmetry between risk and reward covered five losing trades with room to spare.
The core skill we teach is counting expected value, not counting wins. Someone watching their win rate closes the account after the fifth loss. Someone counting expected value keeps following the rule.
Disclaimer: a sample of 8 trades over 3 hours is statistically meaningless and supports no conclusions about returns. This case illustrates a principle, not an expected result. Over a different period the result could have been negative.
The situation: on short five-minute markets, the prices of the YES and NO shares drift apart during busy moments, and the combined cost of both sides falls below $1.00.
Disclaimer: the result depends on liquidity, fees and the activity of other participants. In quiet periods these situations may not appear at all.
We don't stretch the material over months and we don't split it into "levels" so we can sell you the next one. Five modules give you the complete picture: what this market is, where the profit appears, how to start technically, how not to lose money, and how to test your approach in practice.
The mechanics, why the share price equals the probability, how this differs fundamentally from betting and from an exchange, what types of markets exist and where the money sits among them.
→ You understand what you're looking at when you open the platformEach strategy on real examples. An honest account of the strengths and weaknesses of each, and who each one suits.
→ You've chosen an approach that fits your knowledge and your timeWhat you need to access the platform, how to deposit and withdraw, what fees exist, and the mistakes beginners make most often at this step. Plus a 14-point safety checklist.
→ You're technically ready for your first tradePosition size, loss limits, expected value, the trade journal. The three reasons beginners lose their first deposit, and how to avoid them.
→ You have personal rules written before your first trade, not after your first lossHow to run your chosen strategy on live markets without money, what to record in the journal, and the signs that tell you it's time to move to real funds.
→ Your own statistics and a reasoned decision, not an emotional oneWe strongly recommend spending time in practice mode before your first real money. Those who skip this step usually lose their first deposit. We will keep reminding you of that — even though it slows our own sales down.
Markets run around the clock, and price gaps live for seconds. No human can watch hundreds of markets at once, stay awake, and keep their emotions out of it after a losing streak.
That's why experienced participants eventually move to automation: the rules you worked out for yourself start executing without you — faster, and without emotion.
We're building a tool for that, and we'll open access to a limited group — starting with people who've been through the course and already understand what they're doing. Automating a bad strategy only accelerates the losses, which is why the order is this way round: understanding first, tool second.
[Name], [role]. [One or two sentences: how long you've been in this, what you did before, how you came to prediction markets and why you decided to teach it.]
We're not an info-product business and we're not a trading school. We trade these markets ourselves and we build tools for them. The course exists as a by-product: we got tired of explaining the same things over and over in private messages.
We answer in the channel personally, not through assistants.
The difference is where the edge comes from. In a casino the expected value is always against the player — that's built into the rules. On a prediction market you're trading against the opinion of other participants, and if you understand a subject better than the average participant, the edge is on your side. That's why this market has people with consistently positive results across hundreds of trades, and casinos don't. The risk of losing money is real, and we're not hiding it.
Prediction markets operate legally in most jurisdictions and are gradually moving into regulated territory. But platforms maintain lists of restricted countries, and those lists change — check the current status of your country; there's a separate lesson on this in the course. We provide educational materials, not financial services.
The course and practice mode are free — you don't need any money at all. For your first real trades, $50–100 is enough. Increasing that only makes sense after several weeks of your own positive statistics.
Yes. The technical module walks through everything step by step with a checklist, and it's a one-time setup.
One evening. We deliberately don't stretch the material: five modules are enough to understand the market fully and get started. After that it's practice at your own pace.
No. We provide knowledge and method — the decisions are yours, and so are all the financial consequences of those decisions. We don't manage your funds, we don't give individual advice, and we guarantee no outcome. That's a position, not a legal formality: anyone in this field who promises to be responsible for your profit is misleading you.
We don't know, and neither does anyone else. Anyone quoting you a specific return figure is either mistaken or misleading you. What we give you is an understanding of the market, three working strategies, a method for managing risk, and a practice mode — so you can judge your own result before risking money.
Yes, and we're saying so in advance. Later we'll offer access to our tools for this market. It's entirely voluntary: the knowledge and skill from the course stay with you regardless.
While most participants on this market make decisions on emotion and news headlines, the people who understand the mechanics collect the difference between the price and the real probability.
You can spend six months piecing this together from scattered articles. Or you can go through a structured course tonight and open your first practice trade tomorrow.
Participating in prediction markets involves the risk of losing the funds you commit. This project provides educational materials and is not responsible for your financial decisions or their consequences. Only use funds you can afford to lose.